Artificial intelligence could make the US economy substantially richer by 2030 without delivering better pay or greater job security to knowledge workers, according to a new economic outlook from Anthropic.
The company’s Economics team has modelled three scenarios—modest, substantial and extreme—based on how quickly AI capabilities improve, how widely the technology is adopted and how much productivity rises.
All three point to higher economic output. The sharper differences concern who benefits and what happens to workers whose tasks can be automated.
“AI drives GDP growth in all scenarios, although the scale varies enormously depending on the scenario,” Anthropic said in its report, “Scenarios for our Economic Future”.
In the modest scenario, AI delivers gradual gains comparable to the internet’s economic impact, keeping growth within the historical range of…
