The International Monetary Fund warned on Friday that risks related to trade tensions continue to cloud the global economic outlook and uncertainty remains high despite some increased trade and improved financial conditions.
IMF First Deputy Managing Director Gita Gopinath said the fund would update its global forecast later in July given “front-loading ahead of tariff increases and some trade diversion,” along with improved financial conditions and signs of continued declines in inflation.
In April the IMF slashed its growth forecasts for the United States, China and most countries, citing the impact of U.S. tariffs on imports now at 100-year highs and warning that rising trade tensions would further slow growth.
At the time, it cut its forecast for global growth by 0.5 percentage points to 2.8% for 2025, and by 0.3 percentage points to 3%. Economists expect a slight upward revision…